Sirvan Moradi; Seyed Davoud Mohammadi; Abbas Aghajani Bazzazi; Ali Aali Anvari; Ava Osmanpour
Abstract
Feasibility studies of mining and industrial investment projects are usually associated with uncertain parameters; hence, these investigations rely on prediction. In these particular conditions, simulation and modelling techniques remain the most significant approaches to reduce the decision risk. Since ...
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Feasibility studies of mining and industrial investment projects are usually associated with uncertain parameters; hence, these investigations rely on prediction. In these particular conditions, simulation and modelling techniques remain the most significant approaches to reduce the decision risk. Since several uncertain parameters are incorporated in the modelling process, distribution functions are employed to explain the parameters. However, due to the usual constrain of limited data, these functions cannot significantly explain the variation of those uncertain parameters. Support vector machine, one of the efficient techniques of artificial intelligence, provides the appropriate results in the classification and regression tasks. The principal aims of this research work are to integrate the simulation and artificial intelligence methods to manage the risk prediction of an economic system under uncertain conditions. The financial process of the Halichal mine in the Mazandaran province, Iran, is considered a case study to prove the performance of the support vector machine technique. The results show that integrating the simulation and support vector machine techniques can provide more realistic results, especially when including uncertain parameters. The correlation between the net present value obtained from the simulation and the net present value is about 0.96, which shows the capability of artificial intelligence methods and the simulation process. The root mean square error of the support vector machine prediction is about 0.322, which indicates a low error rate in the net present value estimation. The values of these errors prove that this method has a high accuracy and performance for predicting a net present value in the Halichal granite mine.
Mine Economic and Management
R. Bastami; A. Aghajani Bazzazi; H. Hamidian Shoormasti; K. Ahangari
Abstract
The use of blasting cost (BC) prediction to achieve optimal fragmentation is necessary in order to control the adverse consequences of blasting such as fly rock, ground vibration, and air blast in open-pit mines. In this research work, BC is predicted through collecting 146 blasting data from six limestone ...
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The use of blasting cost (BC) prediction to achieve optimal fragmentation is necessary in order to control the adverse consequences of blasting such as fly rock, ground vibration, and air blast in open-pit mines. In this research work, BC is predicted through collecting 146 blasting data from six limestone mines in Iran using the artificial neural networks (ANNs), gene expression programming (GEP), linear multivariate regression (LMR), and non-linear multivariate regression (NLMR) models. In all models, the ANFO value, number of detonators, Emolite value, hole number, hole length, hole diameter, burden, spacing, stemming, sub-drilling, specific gravity of rock, hardness, and uniaxial compressive strength are used as the input parameters. The ANN model results in the test stage indicating a higher correlation coefficient (0.954) and a lower root mean square error (973) compared to the other models. In addition, it has a better conformity with the real blasting costs in comparison with the other models. Although the ANNs method is regarded as one of the intelligent and powerful techniques in parameter prediction, its most important fault is its inability to provide mathematical equations for engineering operations. In contrast, the GEP model exhibits a reliable output by presenting a mathematical equation for BC prediction with a correlation coefficient of 0.933 and a root mean square error of 1088. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the spacing and ANFO values have the maximum and minimum effects on the BC function, respectively. The number of detonators, Emolite value, hole number, specific gravity, hardness, and rock uniaxial compressive strength have a positive correlation with BC, while the ANFO value, hole length, hole diameter, burden, spacing, stemming, and sub-drilling have a negative correlation with BC.
Exploitation
H. Bakhshandeh Amnieh; M. Hakimiyan Bidgoli; H. Mokhtari; A. Aghajani Bazzazi
Abstract
Estimating the costs of blasting operations is an important parameter in open-pit mining. Blasting and rock fragmentation depend on two groups of variables. The first group consists of mass properties, which are uncontrollable, and the second one is the drill-and-blast design parameters, which can be ...
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Estimating the costs of blasting operations is an important parameter in open-pit mining. Blasting and rock fragmentation depend on two groups of variables. The first group consists of mass properties, which are uncontrollable, and the second one is the drill-and-blast design parameters, which can be controlled and optimized. The design parameters include burden, spacing, hole length, hole diameter, sub-drilling, charge weight, charge length, stemming length, and charge density. Blasting costs vary depending on the size of these parameters. Moreover, blasting brings about some undesirable results such as air overpressure, fly rock, back-break, and ground vibration. This paper proposes a mathematical model for estimating the costs of blasting operations in the Baghak gypsum mine. The cost of blasting operations in the objective function is divided into three parts: drilling costs, costs of blasting system, and costs of blasting labours. The decision variables used to minimize the costs include burden, spacing, hole diameter, stemming length, charge density, and charge weight. Constraints of the model include the boundary and operational limitations. Air overpressure in the mine is also anticipated as one of the model constraints. The non-linear model obtained with consideration of constraints is optimized by simulated annealing (SA). After optimizing the model by SA, the best values for the decision variables are determined. The value obtained for the cost was obtained to be equal to 2259 $ per 7700 tons for the desired block, which is less than the blasting costs in the Baghak gypsum mine.
