Ali Nouri Qarahasanlou; Abbas Barabadi; Meisam Saleki
Abstract
Implementing maintenance protocols for industrial machinery is essential since a well-thought-out plan may support and improve machinery dependability, production quality, and safety precautions. Implementing a maintenance plan that considers the equipment's actual functional behavior and the effects ...
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Implementing maintenance protocols for industrial machinery is essential since a well-thought-out plan may support and improve machinery dependability, production quality, and safety precautions. Implementing a maintenance plan that considers the equipment's actual functional behavior and the effects of failures will be easier and more practical. Engineers must consider environmental conditions when studying in hostile environments such as mine. The major goal of this study is to create a mining equipment maintenance program that is as effective as possible while incorporating risk and performance indicators and taking environmental factors into account. The study uses the “reliability-centered maintenance” method, which combines the reliability operating index and risk. The Cox model also includes the risk factors associated with environmental conditions in the reliability analysis. The proposed approach was implemented in a 5-758 Komatsu dump-truck case study at the Sungun copper mine in Iran. The reliability-centered maintenance approach is implemented for dump-truck in three scenarios based on risk factors: 1- baseline, 2- First semi-annual, cheap maintenance, and 3- second semi-annual, expensive maintenance. All failure modes are low-risk, making corrective maintenance appropriate. In Scenario 1, electrical-electrical, electrical-start, mechanical, and pneumatic-related failures are low-risk, making corrective maintenance suitable. In Scenario 2, corrective maintenance is recommended for pneumatic-related failure. In Scenario 3, the fuel-related failure has a high criticality number and failure intensity, indicating a high-risk situation. Time-based preventive maintenance is the most appropriate strategy for this scenario.
Rock Mechanics
M. Nikkhah; M. A. Ghasvareh; N. Farzaneh Bahalgardi
Abstract
In general, underground spaces are associated with high risks because of their high uncertainty in geotechnical environments. Since most accidents and incidents in these structures are often associated with uncertainty, the development of risk analysis and management methods and prevention of accidents ...
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In general, underground spaces are associated with high risks because of their high uncertainty in geotechnical environments. Since most accidents and incidents in these structures are often associated with uncertainty, the development of risk analysis and management methods and prevention of accidents are essential. A deeper recognition of the factors affecting the implementation process can pave the way for this purpose. Risk rating of projects is a key part of the risk assessment stage in the risk management process of each project. Various multi-criteria decision-making methods, as quantitative approaches, are used to allow them to be used in the risk rating issue of each project. In this work, a new model is provided for risk management of Mashhad Urban Railway Line 3 using the game theory and multi-criteria decision-making methods. Based on the answers of the specialists and experts to the prepared questionnaires, various risk groups identified using the TOPSIS and AHP multi-criteria decision-making methods are ranked. Accordingly, the group of economic risks, as the most important risk and social risk group, is ranked as the least significant in both methods. In the following, the appropriate response to the main risks of the ratings is proposed based on the modeling of the game theory, and ranked in terms of importance. Also the worst risk scenario in the project is identified, and the appropriate responses for this state are also expressed in order of importance. The results obtained indicate that the risk of financing problems is the most significant risk, and other risks are ranked in terms of importance in the next ranks. Additionally, the use of new financing methods at times of credit scarcity and project financial problems is also considered as the most important response to the risk in this project.
M. Mohseni; M. Ataei
Abstract
In this work, the time series modeling was used to predict the Tazareh coal mine risks. For this purpose, initially, a monthly analysis of the risk constituents including frequency index and incidence severity index was performed. Next, a monthly time series diagram related to each one of these indices ...
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In this work, the time series modeling was used to predict the Tazareh coal mine risks. For this purpose, initially, a monthly analysis of the risk constituents including frequency index and incidence severity index was performed. Next, a monthly time series diagram related to each one of these indices was for a nine year period of time from 2005 to 2013. After extrusion of the trend, seasonality, and remainder constituents of the time series modeling, the final time series model of the indices was determined with high precision. The precision level of the resulting model was evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE) method. The values obtained for the severity index and accident frequency index were 0.001 and 6.400, respectively. Evaluation of the seasonal time series constituent of the frequency index showed that, yearly, most number of accidents occurred in April, and the least one took place in January. Additionally, evaluation of the seasonal time series constituent of the severity index showed that, every year, the severest accidents occurred in October, and the least ones happened in January. Using the final model, a monthly prediction of indices was performed for a four year period of time from 2014 to 2017. Subsequently, using the known mean work hours in the mine, predictions of the number of accidents and the number of work days lost within a similar time period were made. The prediction results showed that in the future, the number of accidents and the number of work days lost would have a down-going trend such that for similar months, annually, an average 22% decrease in the number of accidents and an average 24% decrease in the number of work days lost are expected.
